Doug ClintonUnderstanding AI: LLM Basics for InvestorsOur AI series continues with what investors need to know about how large language models (LLMs) work to make informed AI investments. How ChatGPT Works To make intelligent investments, an investor should have an understanding of how a company’s product…Read more Themes
Andrew Murphy, Gene MunsterVision Pro Demo Review: Open-Ended PotentialAt Deepwater, our mission is to profit from where the world is going. This week, Gene got a preview of that future with a demo of Apple’s Vision Pro mixed reality headset. In this episode of Deepwater TV, Andrew and…Read more Apple, Spatial Computing , Virtual Reality
Doug ClintonFive (+1) AI Ideas from Five AI LeadersWe don’t really know how AI models work, and we may never fully understand them. That was one of the recurring ideas from hours of interviews I watched of several different AI company CEOs. On its face, the inability of…Read more Artificial Intelligence
Gene Munster, Andrew MurphyApple Vision Pro’s Spatial Computing Is a Big DealApple made good on the rumor mill, announcing its first spatial computing headset, Apple Vision Pro. Available in early 2024 and priced at $3,499, it is at least $500 more expensive than most were expecting. The keynote left me with more questions than answers. After an hour-long demo my view of the product expanded. Spatial computing is a big deal. Yes, it's very expense and, yes, the selection of apps will be limited early on — but those barriers will disappear over time. Spatial computing is just too powerful not to go mainstream. I believe it will account for 10% of all Apple sales in 2030. Read more Apple, Augmented Reality , Spatial Computing , Virtual Reality , Wearables
Gene MunsterHeadsets Mean Little to Apple in the Near Term but a Lot Over the Long TermIt's been eight years since Apple jumped into a new product category. On June 5 that will likely change when Apple is expected to preview its $3,000 developer version of a mixed reality headset at WWDC. Many investors are skeptical about the prospects of the device given headsets are currently a solution looking for a problem. I believe the trend of more immersive consumer tech experiences will continue, which should pave the way for a robust headset market. By 2030, I believe the wearables/glasses segment could account for 10% of Apple's sales (assuming they don't release a car), a business similar in size to Apple's Mac and iPad businesses today.Read more Apple, Themes
Investing in Persistent GrowthMarkets occasionally misprice persistent growth opportunities, and that is the essence of great growth investing. Apple and Amazon are examples of the power of persistent growth. Shares of AAPL and AMZN are up 10x since 2012. The S&P 500 is…Read more Themes
Gene MunsterFor Apple, It’s All About the Active Device BaseFor the March quarter, Apple beat estimates and guided revenue slightly below the Street for the June quarter. Despite the soft guide, shares of AAPL traded up 2% in after-hours. I believe the stock's strength is evidence that investors are putting more weight on Apple's active device base which grew in the quarter to over 2B despite products revenue being down 5% y/y. A growing base means the Apple product flywheel is working which is the foundation for the Apple investment case to shift to a consumer staples company that should yield a higher multiple. On top of that, AI and India represent untapped opportunities for the company. Read more Apple, Themes
Gene MunsterApple Preview: The Only Consumer Staple With AI UpsideApple reports March results on May 4th. Outside of the typical focus on iPhone and Services revenue and guidance there will be increasing attention on the company's active installed base, which grew 8% y/y in the Dec-22 quarter. A growing base means the Apple product flywheel is working. That base is the foundation for the Apple investment case to shift to a consumer staples company that should yield a higher multiple. On top of that, Apple is making meaningful progress in AI, a dynamic that is under-appreciated by investors. Read more Apple, Themes
Andrew MurphyHow Frontier Tech Will Benefit HumanityFrontier tech has the potential to profoundly impact humanity for better and for worse. That potential is not lost on us. In order to address the downside risks, we published an ethical code for investing: Invest in high-integrity founders making products…Read more Artificial Intelligence, Augmented Reality , Autonomous Vehicles , Neurotech , Philosophy , Retail , Robotics , Startup , Venture Capital , Virtual Reality