Apple

Apple’s capital return framework is the 3rd of 4 pillars to our Apple as a Service thesis. Getting to net cash neutral is one of Apple’s biggest levers to move shares higher. We expect Apple to be net cash neutral…

We’ve said it before, but it’s worth repeating: Apple + Peloton would be a match made in heaven. After testing Peloton’s new Peloton Digital offering ($19.49 per month), we think Peloton and it’s growing content library would fit nicely in…

Apple has 16 new shows in the works, comparable to Netflix in 2013 (its first year of original programming) when it had released 13 originals. We expect Apple to spend $900M on video content in 2018, growing to $4.2B by…

Finisar (FNSR) is Apple’s 3rd largest VCSEL array supplier, accounting for about 5% of iPhone X VCSEL arrays. Tonight the company reported earnings for the Apr-18 quarter. Finisar continues to expect a ramp in VCSEL demand in their Oct-18 quarter,…

In venture, our job is to swing for grand slams because venture returns follow a power law function where your biggest winner is going to provide the majority of your return. Base hits do not add up to a grand…

Today, Apple said loudly and clearly that the customer is always right. There were more new features for users than there were new tools for developers: screen time limits, monitoring, and reports, grouped notifications, Do Not Disturb at bedtime, Siri…

In our meetings with AR companies at Augmented World Expo (AWE) this week, it’s clear the industry is waiting for Apple to announce ARKit 2.0 at WWDC. Improvements in persistence and multiplayer functions are two of the most requested additions…

Apple’s annual developer conference starts next Monday, June 4th. Consistent with past WWDC’s, announcements will be software heavy. Most notably a preview of iOS 12 and the upcoming MacOS. We expect Monday’s keynote to be highlighted by extending the reach…

The New York Times reported that Apple has signed a deal with Volkswagen to manufacture electric T6 Transporter vans outfitted with Apple’s autonomous sensor suite to be used as self-driving shuttles for employees. This is significant because it plays into…

According to Bloomberg, of the 54 projects they have tracked since Tesla’s inception, Musk has been late on 21 (or 40%). These continual misses fuel an inaccurate narrative that the company can’t execute and may not survive. In our view,…

Optionality around new product and service categories is the 4th and final pillar to our Apple as a Service thesis. We expect a stable iPhone business (part 1), a growing Services segment (part 2), and capital returns (part 3) to…

Apple’s capital return framework is the 3rd of 4 pillars to our Apple as a Service thesis. It’s understood that Apple is committed to a $100B capital return over an undefined number of years. What’s not understood is that the…